Metro Atlanta mortgage rates continue to be in the news. With the recent rise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, and the likelihood of additional increases on the horizon, the obvious question remains, “Is it still a good time to purchase a home?”

Let’s look at what’s transpired in recent months since the presidential election in November. The average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage increased from 3.68% to 4.2%, based on Freddie Mac's mortgage rate survey report. However, despite the increase, even a 4% rate is very low compared to historical averages. To put that into perspective, for roughly 30 years from 1971 to 2001 mortgage interest rates were above 7% most of the time. In October 1981, they peaked at 18.16%. It wasn’t until 2008, just over eight short years ago, that interest rates began to drop consistently below 6%.

While Metro Atlanta mortgage rates are expected to continue to rise slightly this year, most agree that aggregate increases will be less than 1% – meaning rates should remain below the 5% level. With that in mind, relatively speaking, mortgages will still be affordable for most home purchasers. And, as mentioned above, compared to where interest rates were just a decade ago, a 4% to 5% interest rate will seem like a bargain!

Since 2009, the Federal Reserve has purchased significant amounts of mortgage-backed securities. The recent strength of the stock market – as a result of the presidential election results – has meant those purchases have temporarily been suspended. In addition, the Fed has indicated they may raise the federal funds rate at different intervals this year. The fed funds rate is the rate at which banks loan money to each other. However, there is a loose relationship between the fed funds rate and the longer-term mortgage interest rates.

A small increase in the Fed’s actions may translate to a slight increase in mortgage rates and their monthly payments. As an example, on a $200,000 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 4% the payment would be roughly $955 per month. At 4.5% the payment would be approximately $1,013. A 5% mortgage rate would equate to payments of roughly $1,074 per month.

As you can see, the impact of slightly higher rates isn’t really a significantly higher monthly payment. It likely would only impact those homebuyers who were watching their budgets carefully, or those that would be on the borderline of loan qualification.

A greater concern than Metro Atlanta mortgage rates seems to be the rising home prices continuing to occur throughout the U.S. The median sales price of a home in 2016 rose 5.5% from the previous year. Experts expect a 5.3% increase this year. And therein lies the real issue. The “double-whammy” of higher interest rates combined with higher sales prices may be the deterrent to may home buyers – especially first-timers.

Let’s take a look at six factors that may have more impact than interest rates on your monthly mortgage payment.

Your Credit Score
Higher credit scores translate to lower interest rates for applicants with good credit. A score of at least 740 will likely get the best rate from most mortgage lenders.

Your Down Payment
A popular misconception is that you have to have a down payment of at least 20% in order to buy a home. However, if you do have 20% to put down you can avoid having to pay private mortgage insurance (PMI), a type of insurance that protects the lender against the borrower defaulting on their mortgage payments. According to Freddie Mac, the PMI premium can run anywhere from $30-$70 per $100,000 of your mortgage amount. Naturally, with a larger down payment, the monthly payment amount is less since you’re financing a lower loan amount. That's always true, regardless of what Metro Atlanta mortgage rates do or don't do in the future.

Points
"Points" are actually percentage points of the loan amount – 1 point equals 1% of the loan amount – so, if you’re borrowing, say, $200,000, a point would be $2,000. You can pay points to lower your interest rate. Since points are prepaid, be sure you “do the math” and determine whether buying down the interest rate is the best financial decision for you at the time – and to make sure it’s saving you interest in the long run.

The Term of the Loan
While a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage loan is the most popular selection, if you can afford the increased payment it may be worth looking at a shorter term. A 15-year term will not only be issued at a lower interest rate, but you’ll save more than 50% in total interest repayments over the life of the loan. Even borrowers who opt for a 20-year or 25-year term are pleasantly surprised at the interest savings they can enjoy by paying slightly more money each month. Ask your mortgage lender for an amortization schedule with different terms for comparison and see which term fits your financial capabilities best.

Closing Costs
Closing costs and fees vary from one lender to the next. It’s worth shopping around to find the best deal on closing costs. In addition, some fees are negotiable, so ask questions and make the best deal you can. Lastly, remember who pays the closing costs is strictly between you and the seller of your home. So, be prepared to negotiate with the seller for him to pay part – or all – of the closing costs as part of the contract.

Home Sales Price
Naturally, a higher price tag for a more expensive home translates to higher monthly mortgage payments. Make sure you are looking for homes in your affordable price range. What’s the joy in buying a home if you have to struggle to make the monthly payments – even if you qualify for a higher amount? Consider selecting and buying a less expensive home, even if you have to do without certain features or extras. You’ll sleep better at night.

You can find more articles pertaining to the Metro Atlanta mortgage rates in the "Atlanta Mortgage Info" section of articles just below Atlanta Real Estate Categories in the column to your right.

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The Metro Atlanta mortgage outlook is expected to include higher interest rates for 2017. The Federal Reserve’s recent short-term interest rate hike was both highly anticipated and expectedly minimal. And, while the fed funds interest rate has little direct correlation to longer-term mortgage interest rates, there has been – and may continue to be – a slight upward movement in rates for home loans.

Even prior to the Federal Reserve’s action, the average interest rate for conventional 30-year fixed rate mortgages increased after the recent presidential election. The rate hike saw record-low mortgage rates increase on average from a half to three-quarters of a percent. Post-election stock market activity meant investors were bullish on stocks and less interested in the bond market. Since long-term mortgage rates are more closely tied to the 10-year yield of U.S. Treasury bonds, rates rose as bond market investments declined.

A burning question exists, however, as to whether the Metro Atlanta mortgage outlook of rising rates will really make much difference to the housing market in 2017. The reason for the question is simple:  Increasing rates, as exhibited by the Federal Reserve, are indicators of a stronger national economy – and a stronger economy historically favors the housing industry.

In addition, as one economist with Fannie Mae pointed out, “If interest rates are rising because the economy is growing more rapidly, then typically, incomes also rise, and the rising incomes offset the increase in the size of the mortgage payment…”

The unknown factor, however, tends to be largely intangible – buying a home is one of the most emotional purchases an American consumer will likely make. In a recent survey published by real estate brokerage firm Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices, 76% of existing homeowners and 79% of potential homeowners mentioned higher interest rates as a major challenge for the existing housing market. Even more significant is that each of those statistics reflect increases of 16% and 8%, respectively, from the same period of time in 2015.

The report also revealed the anxiety of a larger number of owners and prospective buyers would increase if the Metro Atlanta mortgage outlook were to include further rate increases. The lesson here is that when it comes to housing, perception is reality. Case in point:  Interest rates are still within 1% of all-time historic lows, but to many potential buyers – especially first-timers – it may not seem that way, in light of the recent attention rate increases have received.

Still, in the face of recent increases there are real estate experts who feel rates won’t climb much higher in 2017. Redfin, for example, predicts rates will likely reach no higher than 4.3% for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage. In addition, they expect an ever-improving credit market, citing large financial institutions like Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan and Quicken, who in 2016 offered mortgage loans with just 1% – 3% down. Redfin says these and other programs will attract more millennials and first-time buyers into the U.S. housing market in 2017.

In addition, to further highlight the intangible impact the Metro Atlanta mortgage outlook may have on the home buying public, Zillow offers this recent finding. In a survey of consumer housing trends, Zillow says home purchases were more closely tied to a consumer’s overall financial health than to any interest rate changes. They found certain life events – like employment changes, promotions, job-loss, or a change in the household make-up were more impactful factors affecting a home purchase. As a result, Zillow says, while there is naturally concern over the part of prospective homebuyers about rising interest rates, they are quick to realize that by historical standards the cost of borrowing money today for a home mortgage is very low. Lastly, while rate increases may have an impact on where they buy or the size home they buy, most purchasers are committed to entering the housing market once they elect to do so.

Of concern to many experts is the affordability factor that appears to be weakening – especially among first-time home buyers. Year over year – from 2015 to 2016 – the number of available homes for the average first-time buyer dropped over 12% according to Trulia. Other Trulia findings show that while premium or higher-end homes comprise roughly 50% of available listings nationwide, starter homes – attractive to first-timers – make up only 25% of listings. In addition, first-time buyers are expected to spend roughly 39% of their monthly income to afford a home, compared to 37% in 2015.

Finally, as we analyze the Metro Atlanta mortgage outlook for 2017, one continuing concern lingers in the housing market – available inventory. Experts say the biggest obstacle facing a strong spring housing market won’t be higher interest rates, but a lack of home supply. Real estate listings throughout the U.S. fell in 2016 compared to 2015 with little sign of improving enough during 2017 to impact the spring. Sales increases, quite simply, are dependent on housing supply – and one can’t occur without the other. While the new-home market is on the rise, homebuilders have still been unable to keep up with the demand for new housing, and housing starts have been lower than usual. In addition, homeowners who would normally be selling their homes to move into larger, better or more expensive homes aren’t moving as they once did. Experts say a typical homeowner stays in their existing home twice as long as they did just 15 short years ago. Increased interest rates will likely continue this trend as consumers won't sell their homes unless they have another home to buy – and probably will be less likely to pay more for the financing than they currently pay for their lower-rate mortgages.

In summary, the Metro Atlanta mortgage outlook seems to be less about rising rates and move about other factors – some that are intangible like financial well-being – and others that are more practical like home inventory and new- and existing-home supply from which to choose.

You can find more articles pertaining to the Metro Atlanta mortgage outlook in the "Atlanta Mortgage Info" section of articles just below Atlanta Real Estate Categories in the column to your right.

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Economists and mortgage lenders are still keeping a watchful eye on Metro Atlanta interest rates. Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen recently told the House financial services committee that no immediate decision has been made to raise interest rates. However, she said a December rate hike was still a “live possibility.”

Will Metro Atlanta Interest Rates Rise in December?

Anticipation and speculation over if and when the Fed will raise interest rates has been a hot topic. Housing experts have largely agreed that even a slight bump in Metro Atlanta interest rates would not have much impact on home mortgage rates. Still, the Fed is considering the possibility of a rate hike before the end of the year.

Yellen’s meeting before the House committee occurred one week after the Fed decided not to raise rates during October.

Yellen cited the U.S. economy as "performing well," saying domestic spending was increasing at a good rate. However, she cautioned that net exports and trade performance were slowing. She also referenced poor job gains in recent months. There were 64,000 fewer jobs added in September than had been projected. The U.S. economy added 271,000 jobs in October, and strong hiring drove unemployment figures down to 5%.

These and other factors may cause the Fed to raise Metro Atlanta interest rates during December.

Despite inflation currently below 2%, the widely accepted threshold established by the Federal Reserve, Yellen said that level is due to "declines in energy prices and the prices of non-energy imports." The Fed expects crude oil prices to rise slightly, then stabilize, moving the inflation rate back up to the 2% mark. Yellen says if that happens, "it could be appropriate to adjust rates in our next meeting."

The Fed chair reiterated there had been no firm decision made to raise interest rates in December. The decision will be based largely on the review of new data collected between now and then. Among the chief components of that data is one more jobs report for November. Whether Metro Atlanta interest rates will be affected will depend on how the Fed interprets the findings.

It’s important to note there is little correlation between a modest interest rate hike by the Fed and actual Metro Atlanta interest rates for mortgage loans. Historically, mortgage lending experts say a slight increase hasn’t had a big impact on home loan rates. A quarter-point rate increase on a $250,000 mortgage only increases the monthly payment by roughly $35. Lenders say it usually takes an increase of a full percentage point to have a noticeable effect on consumers.

Find more news that may affect Metro Atlanta interest rates in our Atlanta Real Estate News section to your right under Atlanta Real Estate Categories. We also post news and tips each day on Twitter and Facebook. Follow us there for up to the minute news on Metro Atlanta interest rates and mortgage news.

Metro Atlanta mortgage rates could still be on the uptick despite conflicting economic indicators. Metro Atlanta Federal Reserve President Dennis Lockhart, a highly-respected voting member on the Fed’s monetary policy committee, said there is "more downside risk" to the U.S. economy as a result of an international slowdown and stagnation in addition to the nation’s most recent disappointing jobs report.

Lockhart said the Fed will continue to monitor consumer strength and confidence signals in the next few weeks and coming months to decide whether to proceed with the first rate increase in almost a decade. He has publicly stated a rate hike is likely to occur before the end of this year.

Metro Atlanta Mortgage Rates: What an Increase May Mean

It’s important to note there is little correlation between a small interest rate hike orchestrated by the Federal Reserve and actual Metro Atlanta mortgage rates. Mortgage experts say historically a slight increase in the interest rates by the Fed hasn’t had a profound impact on Metro Atlanta mortgage rates. A quarter-point rate increase on a $250,000 mortgage only increases the monthly payment by roughly $35. Such a payment increase probably won’t prevent buyers from buying, but it could mean they may buy a slightly less expensive home. Experts say it usually takes an increase of a full percentage point to have a noticeable effect on consumers.

Some industry insiders say the potential threat for Metro Atlanta mortgage rates to increase could be the resulting effect on credit standards for prospective buyers trying to qualify for a mortgage. First time buyers may see loan qualifications tighten slightly as a safeguard against a repeat of the housing crisis of less than a decade ago are now in place.

A greater concern is how a rise in Metro Atlanta mortgage rates may affect consumer confidence. If consumers feel threatened or unassured that further increases are imminent they may elect to stay on the sidelines temporarily to see what happens.

Still, other experts say a rate hike could very well be the catalyst to motivate potential purchasers. If they’ve been waiting to purchase and now realize there’s no better time than the present to buy it could spur many to act rather than to continue to wait any longer.

Get more news as it affects Metro Atlanta mortgage rates in our Atlanta Real Estate News section to your right under Atlanta Real Estate Categories. We also post news and tips each and every day on Twitter and Facebook, and would encourage you to follow us there for up to the minute news that may affect Metro Atlanta mortgage rates.

Average Metro Atlanta mortgage rates followed 10-year Treasury yields higher and rose for the third consecutive week last week. At 3.85%, the average 30-year fixed-rate Metro Atlanta mortgage rate is just below the high for 2015.

The 15-year fixed Metro Atlanta mortgage rates averaged 3.07% with an average 0.6 point last week, up from the previous week when it averaged 3.02%. A year ago at this time, the 15-year fixed rate mortgage averaged 3.29%.

Higher Metro Atlanta Mortgage Rates Mean Less House

Higher Metro Atlanta mortgage rates will mean more expensive mortgages and less house. Right now, the 30-year mortgage costs nearly a half-percent cheaper than the same mortgage cost a year ago, and more than a full point cheaper than mortgages cost five years ago. If you agree with (almost literally) everyone else that interest rates will rise over the next 12 months, the time to lock in a low rate is now.

The 5-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 2.89% last week with an average 0.5 point, down from the previous week when it averaged 2.90%. A year ago, the 5-year Adjustable rate mortgage averaged 3.01%.

The 1-year Treasury-indexed adjustable rate mortgage averaged 2.48% last week with an average 0.4 point, up from the previous week when it averaged 2.46%. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 2.43%.

The labor market continues to improve with the U.S. economy adding 223,000 jobs in April, a solid rebound from merely 85,000 job gains in March. Also, the unemployment rate dipped to 5.4% in April as the participation rate ticked up to 62.8% and jobless claims were far less than expected.

Pending sales of existing homes in March rose 1.1 percent, according to the National Association of Realtors. The median price of an existing home nationwide was up 7.8 percent from a year earlier.

With just about everyone agreeing that Metro Atlanta mortgage rates are moving higher, there's simply no time like the present to get started looking for a Metro Atlanta home.

Get more information as it pertains to Metro Atlanta mortgage rates in our section on Atlanta Mortgage Info to your right under Atlanta Real Estate Categories.

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We're betting you thought lower Metro Atlanta gas prices could only mean positive things for the economy, right?

If you're in the market for a home mortgage, Metro Atlanta gas prices could be having an effect on the rate you can get.

How Metro Atlanta Gas Prices Affect Mortgage Rates

Believe it or not, oil investments and Metro Atlanta gas prices (along with lots of other things) have an indirect effect on mortgage rates.

One of the strongest predictors of mortgage rates is the yield on a 10-year Treasury note. Basically if the yield is low, so are mortgage rates. The buying of bonds can represent relative safety for oil investors, and what oil prices mean for the world's economy.

Oil prices, as well as Metro Atlanta gas prices, continues to fall in large part because there is less demand. Less demand comes via weakening economies across the globe. The lower oil prices may also disproportionately affect countries like Russia, which are already suffering from instability. All of this leads to a flight to quality, and the safe haven is almost always the U.S. Bond Market.

With Metro Atlanta gas prices dropping and no one quite sure when or where they'll stop, U.S. bonds give investors a certain comfort that the oil market isn't currently providing. (Treasury bonds will always be paid off to prevent the government from losing the confidence of its investors and creditors at home and abroad.)

The problem for these investors is that everyone has the same idea. If everyone starts buying bonds, it drives down yields because the government doesn't have to offer such a high rate of return to get people to buy. This, in turn, drives down mortgage rates.

Some economists believe the benefit to the housing market is largely indirect in the form of more consumer spending, leading to job and income growth and ultimately making it easier for people to buy homes.

It should be noted that the 10-year Treasury note only affects the base mortgage rate. A number of factors go into the actual interest rate a homebuyer can get, including their credit score, the number of points paid on the mortgage and the down payment amount.

We'll keep you informed on Metro Atlanta gas prices and how the price you pay at the pump could affect your mortgage rate. In the meantime, you can get more information about factors that control Metro Atlanta mortgage rates in our section on Atlanta Mortgage Info to your right under Atlanta Real Estate Categories.

Remember, we post tips daily to Twitter, and also on our Facebook Page. We'd love you to check us out there too.

According to the latest forecast from Freddie Mac's economists, Metro Atlanta mortgage rates are expected to hit 5 percent for a 30-year fixed rate loan in 2015.

Expect to see interest rates climb throughout 2015, with yields on the 10-year Treasury averaging about 2.9 percentage points, up from about 2.6 percentage points in 2014, and 30-year fixed Metro Atlanta mortgage rates mortgage gradually climbing, averaging 4.6 percent and rising to 5.0 percent by the end of next year.

Rising Metro Atlanta Mortgage Rates May Dampen Affordability

Meanwhile price increases are expected to slow from the 9.3 percent pace we saw in 2013, the 4.5 percent we saw this year, and 3.0 percent in 2015. Continued house price appreciation and rising Metro Atlanta mortgage rates will dampen homebuyer affordability.

Total housing starts in 2015 will increase by 20 percent and total home sales will increase by about 5 percent over that time period to the best sales pace in eight years.

Single-family originations will fall an additional 8 percent from 2014 to 2015 to $1.1 trillion annualized as increases in purchase-money lending are insufficient to offset a drop in refinance. Refinance is expected to make up just 23 percent of originations in 2015.

The good news for 2015 is that the U.S. economy appears well poised to sustain about a 3 percent growth rate in 2015 — only the second year in the past decade with growth at that pace or better. There are several reasons for the better economic performance. Governmental fiscal drag has turned into fiscal stimulus, lower energy costs support consumer spending and business investment, further easing of credit conditions for business and real estate lending support commerce and development, and more upbeat consumer and business confidence, all of which portend faster economic growth in 2015.

With that, the economy will produce more and better-paying jobs, providing the financial wherewithal to support household formations and housing activity. All of this according to Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist.

With the forecast of higher Metro Atlanta mortgage rates on the horizon, there may never be a more affordable time to buy a home than right now. Talk to us about rates, and where prices are for Metro Atlanta housing. We're here to help.

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